S E C R E T OSLO 11-000326 NOFORN SIPDIS CIA/NHRTC - TAGS: SUBJECT: (S/NF) REF: Reclassified By: Report on Norwegian political stability and friendship Norway is considered a stable and free state. Norway has one of the highest purchasing powers, lowest murder and crime rates in the world and has been ranked as #1 for most of the previous decade. It has a modern air force, navy and special operations task force, but posses an extremely limited ability to wage a defensive war against Russia (shared border) and is reliant on NATO. Traditionally domestic security has been down-prioritized (Strongly criticized by Ambassador Barry B. White and through the shared intelligence act) but following the twin domestic terror attacks of 7/22/2011 domestic security investments have been greatly increased. Norway has a fairly large immigrant Muslim and non western population, and it is increasing. Norway was in the "Next Century Report" (NCR) classified as a GSPC state which suggested its political system will undergo massive changes due to failed intergration. . This represents a direct threat to american interests as one of the most powerful future voting blocks in Norway will become unified and is directly hostile to American interests. This issue was discussed personally with both former Prime Minister Bondevik and current Prime Minister Stoltenberg, but talks lead to nothing. The NCR correctly predicted domestic terrorism by perpetrator(s) but was incorrect about timing. It was predicted no major events would take place before 2020. Several other events have also taken place in quicker succession than predicted, or in the more extreme outlooks predicted. The shift in focus of the Norwegian special operations from was not predicted until 2015, the developing friendship with Muslim nations (Especially note royal family ties between Saudi and Norway) is developing faster than predicted, the reluctance of the Norwegian government from stopping the forming of a new Wahhabist rebel army in Iraq lead by Najmuddin Faraj Ahmad, and the This indicates that the failing of of integration political correctness expulsion of traditional culture and way of life. predictions came true in 7/22/2011 almost a decade a head of schedule! Increases in budget to NHRTC for project Oslo should be increased and it is recommended to move a head with and earlier than scheduled in NCR.